Saturday, June 13, 2009

One of nature's little jokes

One of the great hopes for environmentally clean energy to reduce the impact of climate change is of course wind power. One of the places where, through as combination of geography, technology and economy, you would have thought wind power had a good chance of proving itself is the American Midwest. Where, according to a paper just published in the Journal of Geophysical Research, wind speeds are have been falling for decades. Because of climate change.

Never let it be said that Mother Nature doesn't have a sense of humour.

Source: Pryor, S.C., R.J. Barthelmie, D.T. Young, E. S. Takle, R. W. Arritt, D. Flory, W. J. Gutowski, A. Nunes, and J. Roads (2009), Wind speed trends over the contiguous USA, J. Geophys. Res., doi:10.1029/2008JD011416, in press.

Friday, June 12, 2009

The train now arriving in Fantasy Gulch...

My God, it's only two days since I wondered how long it would be before market enthusiasts started trumpeting how wonderful market economies were after all, and already the Financial Times has responded with one of those I-wouldn't-believe-it-if-I-hadn't-seen-it-with-my-own-eyes pieces they are so very good at.

In today's edition, Philip Stephens has penned a piece entitled 'Crisis? What crisis? The market confounds the left'. Leaving aside the drivel he talks about 'the left' (of which, pace Mr Stephens, the Labour and Democratic parties are decidedly not members), he manages to boast that the return to profitability of various banks proves that liberal market capitalism really is the bee's knees.

Pace the doomsayers who predicted imminent Armageddon, liberal market capitalism has survived: somewhat humbled and, in the case of the financial services
industry under much tighter official supervision, but recognisably much as it was.
Indeed it is - and we will pay for it again, the next time it goes wrong. But the idea that this proves that the system is basically OK? Oh really? And that little detail of the trillion dollars we gave them? The millions of unemplyed? The wrecked businesses? The tens of millions around the world these bankers have thrust into an absolute poverty smug Mr Stephens cannot imagine? I could go on about this at enormous length (again), but if there is one thing that doesn't prove that a system is healthy, it is when it recovers from a completely self-induced disaster by being fixed by someone else.

But what can we expect from a paper that is so utterly incapable of rational thought about market economics?

Wednesday, June 10, 2009

Booking a trip to Fantasy Gulch

Now that we have bailed them out to the tune of a trillion-odd pounds/euros/dollars, surprise surprise, the banks are returning to profit. Meanwhile, the various government institutions who are supposed to be deciding how to avoid another train wreck are stumbling around trying to grasp what really needs to be done, but are so thoroughly tarred with the same brush as the financial sector that they cannot even conceive of what is required.

And every time governments make a move, another little patronising missive comes from entirely non-credible banking body bemoaning how any new regulation on capitalisation or bonuses will only hamstring the system – as though the last couple of years were not warning enough that what ‘the system’ needs is not just hamstringing but evolution into a completely new kind of animal.

How long can it be before the banks start issuing press releases claiming that the current crisis is just a flash in the pan and that everything is really all right? I give it until the end of June at the latest.

Wednesday, June 03, 2009

China shakes the road

China has certainly bought into consumerism in a big and perhaps irreversible way. General Motors has sold off now its Hummer division to a Chinese buyer, the Sichuan Tengzhong Heavy Industrial Machinery Company. Tengzhong’s CEO is quoted int eh New York Times as saying that:

‘The Hummer brand is synonymous with adventure, freedom and exhilaration,
and we plan to continue that heritage’.

Plainly he hasn't heard of peak oil.

One might take issue with this interpretation of such ‘a symbol of gas-guzzling, road-hogging American excess’ (as the FT's correspondents put it), but it is hard to avoid also seeing it as yet another symptom of China’s growing environmental impact still farther. And contrary to China’s stated defence of its unwillingness to impose carbon emission limits on itself, this is hardly the kind of development that a poor country needs to create a decent standard of living for its people.